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AP Poll: Bush Holds Slight Lead on Kerry
 

By RON FOURNIER (Direct descendent of Joseph Stalin! - tha malcontent)
Associated Press Writer Sept 10, 8:38 PM EDT

WASHINGTON (AP) �  President Bush opens the fall campaign with a slight lead over Democratic Sen. John Kerry, an Associated Press poll shows, as voters express growing confidence in the direction of the country and the performance of the incumbent.

 

(ap) - The first reference to Actual Poll numbers comes 5 paragraphs into this story, but it is not before this: "Among all registered voters, Bush-Cheney led the Democratic ticket 51 percent to 43 percent, a modest bounce in support since early August, when Kerry-Edwards led 48-45 percent."... "Modest bounce"?... John-John, J. Forbes-Heinz-Kerry-Edwards (D) received NO bounce from their Convention, and were ahead going in!  It went from 48-45 to 51-43... That's 8 points that Bush/Cheney is leading by, and a drop of Kerry by 5, and gain of Bush (43) by 6!  Immediately following the DemocRATS Convention, Kerry began trailing, after NO Bounce, yet the AP refuses to do Comparative Analysis on that.  Among Likely Voters, the AP finds a 5 point lead for Bush (43).  Other polls find between 2-3, to 7-12 for Bush (43).  It should be mandatory for Institutions that Poll, to at least show averages among all Polls... Anyway. - tha malcontent)

Seven weeks before Election Day, the Republican is considered significantly more decisive, strong and likable than Kerry, and he has strengthened his position on virtually every issue important to voters, from the war in Iraq and creating jobs - two sources of criticism - to matters of national security and values.

 

(The Vast Majority of people read Headlines, and from the tone of this Paragraph, it was an Abnormally Objective view of the AP's own Poll on the part of the AP to print the previous paragraph, and you would not have come to this Conclusion about the Poll results based on the previous paragraph.  "Modest" is not what the previous paragraph sounded like to me... "Previously", anyway! - tha malcontent)

Since the Democratic National Convention ended in late July, the president has erased any gains Kerry had achieved while reshaping the political landscape in his favor: Nearly two-thirds of voters think protecting the country is more important than creating jobs, and Bush is favored over Kerry by a whopping 23 percentage points on who would keep the United States safe.

 

(Again, "Modest" is not what this paragraph sounded like to me either. - tha malcontent)

"If we don't take care of the terrorists, we certainly won't have to worry about the economy," said Janet Cross, 57, of Portsmouth, Ohio, who switched from Democrat to Republican for the last election.

 

(This is not your Average AP story... But again, Dan Rather (D) can make this statement on the Nightly: "The Associated Press found in it's Polling that Bush only made ONLY "Modest" gains regarding his "Bounce" from the Convention"... Are you starting to understand how the game is played? - tha malcontent)

Among those most likely to vote, the Republican ticket of Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney holds a lead of 51 percent to 46 percent over Kerry and Sen. John Edwards, with independent Ralph Nader receiving 1 percent.

 

(If the "Free Press" propped Nader up as they did Perot in 1992, Nader would be taking at least 10% from the DemocRATS.   Instead, you only hear about Nader midway through stories such as this one that the Average American will never read.  By the way, Perot took 19% of the Popular Vote in 1992, while Clinton was ushered into Office by the Base of the DemocRAT Party with a measly 43%!... Thanks again, Ross! - tha malcontent)

The AP-Ipsos-Public Affairs poll showed minorities, urban residents and other Democratic voters unified behind Kerry, as would be expected in the fall. But he lost ground in virtually every other demographic group: lower educated voters, suburbanites, rural voters, the middle class, married couples and baby boomers.

 

("As would be expected"... Read that paragraph again, and tell me what's wrong with that piece of Editorial Dung that the AP is attempting to pass off! - tha malcontent)

Many voters seemed to be retreating to Bush's camp after flirting with the Democrat, whose nominating convention was heavily focused on his Vietnam War record. For example, those in the GOP-leaning South narrowly favored Kerry in early August but now support Bush 58 percent to 38 percent. Married men slightly favored Bush last month but now back the president 2-to-1.

 

("Whose nominating convention was heavily focused on his Vietnam War record"... This was Kerry's First, and Final mistake, and the AP knows it, they are simply not ready to throw in the towel as of this date.  After all, "Bush (43) could still step on his own %&#!, ya know!" - tha malcontent)

Among all registered voters, Bush-Cheney led the Democratic ticket 51 percent to 43 percent, a modest bounce in support since early August, when Kerry-Edwards led 48-45 percent.

 

(Modest: "Moderate or limited in size, quantity"... Yeah, an entire turnaround of the Campaigns, and an average of about a 7 to 8 point gain, from all Polls taken coming out of the Conventions, is "Modest" when the Incumbent is leading!  Call up Carter/Mondale/Dukkakis and ask them about the "Modest" gains that Reagan and Bush (41) made back in 1980/84/88... By the way, Clinton, in 1992 had 57% of Americans Vote AGAINST him in the DemocRATS "Popular Vote"... Don't ever forget that! - tha malcontent)

The reversal is the result of a month of GOP-inspired criticism of Kerry's war record combined with a Republican National Convention scripted to undercut the Democrat's credibility and cast Bush as a steady commander in chief, said strategists in both campaigns.

 

("GOP-inspired criticism of Kerry's war record"?... Notice the lack of ANY Evidence to support this Baseless Claim?... There has been NO Direct Connection made to the RNC, Bush (43), or Cheney, NOR have any of the previously Referenced entities said anything but Positive statements about Kerry's Service... If I am wrong, e-mail it to me and Prove me wrong.  I will post it at the Top of the Fold!  By Contrast, Kerry HIMSELF, has been all but calling Bush (43) "AWOL" since earlier this year... Well before the Swiftvets were even heard of! - tha malcontent)

"There's something I don't like about Kerry - too wishy-washy," said Don Dooley, a 54-year-old conservative Democrat from Grand Prairie, Texas, who is leaning toward Bush. "George is not the ideal kind of person, but at least he's more predictable than Kerry."

 

(Impressive... This is 2 in a row.  The AP may be coming around to the understanding of what Objectivity means.  They seem to balance multiple paragraphs of their own Editorials, masquerading as Wire Copy with at least one quote of a Real Person explaining why Kerry will not be the next President of the United States. - tha malcontent)

The question now is whether Bush's gains are as temporary as they were for Kerry - or the first sign of a fundamental shift in the race.

 

(Read this story from start to this point as many times as it takes to Realize that at no point did the AP make the Case that Kerry received "Gains" from his Convention, which is what this story is based on... Bush (43)'s gains from his Convention.  The Bias is stilled Veiled at times! - tha malcontent)

"I don't know if we know that yet," said Bush strategist Matthew Dowd, "but I think there's beginning to be some permanence to it." He said the president could settle into a lead of 3 or 4 percentage points, which could only be upset by a major event, such as the presidential debates.

 

(Notice how "presidential debates" is only in quotes when I typed it just now?... That's because it's an example of more Editorializing on the Main Wire without the benefit of Declaration of the part of the AP!  If you would just be Honest about your Bias, we would stop Bitching. - tha malcontent)

Democrats predicted the race will be even in the next week or two, especially in the dozen or so states where the election will be decided.

 

(And if the DemocRATS can count on the likes of the AP, who in 2000 called Florida an hour before the Conservative panhandle of the State had finished Voting, this coming only a couple of days after Forwarding a 24 year-old DUI story that seemed to be Left on the shelves of the "Free Press" until needed, was dropped... Yeah, we will see if the post-Dan Rather (D) Forged Document, 4th Interview with a Bush-Basher/Kerry Campaign Vice Chairman on 60 Minutes in a row story doesn't Seal the Coffin for Kerry first!  Hey, at least Barnes' new book isn't a CBS/Viacom project, as other Dan Rather (D) "guests" on 60 Minutes who Bash Bush (43) have been! - tha malcontent)

"They had a convention and got a bounce just like we had a convention and got a bounce," said Kerry pollster Mark Mellman. He said Bush's gains were already eroding, pointing to polls taken during and after the convention that gave the president a double-digit lead.

 

(First and foremost, Kerry did NOT get a Bounce... That's been established by ALL of the "Free Press", which means he probably lost points in Reality.  Second, the "double-digit" lead was a product of TIME and Newsweak attempting to make the slide seem larger than it really would be...  Been there, done that! - tha malcontent)

For the first time since Kerry wrapped up the nomination, the AP-Ipsos poll suggests that a majority of voters approve of the president's job performance - 52 percent. The lifts him out of the danger zone for incumbents.

 

(And if an Incumbent is in the lead on job performance to the tune of 50%+ in March of said Election year, they have ALWAYS won... Just in case you did not know that. - tha malcontent)

The percentage of voters who think the country is on the right track rose from 39 percent to 44 percent since August. The nation's spirits, while less than buoyant, are higher than when Democratic President Clinton was re-elected in 1996, polls show.

 

(And Clinton almost got a 50% Plurality in 1996, compared with 57% of Americans Rejecting him at the Polls in 1992!...  Only 49% of Voters EVER Honestly Supported him during his ENTIRE Presidency. - tha malcontent)

Bush has fought an uphill battle against voter anxiety, fueled by the loss of nearly 1 million jobs during his term, rising health care costs and a war in Iraq that has led to more than 1,000 U.S. military deaths.

 

(The number of jobs lost according to the AP and others just a year or so ago, was 2 1/2 MILLION... Now it's "nearly a million".  FACT: The 3 months following 9/11, America lost 1 million jobs.  Does anyone care to blame that on Bush (43)'s Economic Policies?...  Speaking of his Economic Policies, his first Budget did not go into affect until the end of October of 2001, "nearly" 2 months after the 11th.  During Clinton's Final Budget, following a year-long Economic Decline in 2000, America went from a 3.9% Unemployment Rate, to 5.6%... During Clinton's Final Budget!  This is FACT as History states it.  Currently we are enjoying a 5.4% Unemployment Rate, which is better than the one Clinton was Re-elected with... Just in case your "Free Press" was not letting you in on the FACTS. - tha malcontent)

Half of voters approve of Bush's handling of the economy, up from 46 percent in August and the highest since January. His approval rating for the war on terrorism increased from 51 percent to 55 percent.

 

(I noticed that the Swiftvets were Focused on Bush (43)'s handling of the Economy and the War on Terror... I can see how the DemocRATS claims of the Swift Boat Veterans who Served WITH Kerry are helping Bush (43) with those issues.. Why, just the other day, I saw a Swiftie Ad that was all about the Economy and how Bush (43) was handling the War. - tha malcontent)

Voters were slightly more likely to say a candidate's positions on issues is more important than leadership and personal qualities. Of those who cited issues, Kerry was favored by 10 percentage points. People making a gut-level choice overwhelming favored Bush, 65-29 percent.

 

(Wow... I am Shocked that the AP is admitting the "gut-level choice" numbers... Clearing thy Conscience, are we? - tha malcontent)

On the question of who can be trusted to protect the country, Bush gained 7 percentage points and Kerry lost the same amount - a 14-point swing. The shift was just as big on decisiveness, with 75 percent assigning that trait to Bush and just 37 percent saying they would use that word to describe Kerry.

 

(In a post-9/11 Age, there is a 14 point swing towards the Incumbent regarding "who can be trusted to protect the country"?... Is there an Honest Liberal out there who can deny Reality at this point? - tha malcontent)

There was a 9-point swing in Bush's favor on the issue of honesty, an 8-point swing on strength and 10-point swing on which candidate would do better creating jobs.

 

("9-Point Swing on Honesty for Bush (42) would have made a nice headline, wouldn't it! - tha malcontent)

The AP-Ipsos survey of 1,286 registered voters, conducted Sept. 7-9, had a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points. The sample of 899 likely voters had a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.

---

Associated Press Writers Will Lester and Trevor Tompson contributed to this report.

� Copyright 2004 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.


(That depends on what the meaning of "may" is... All commentary included on this website is the opinion of tha malcontent and is based in the Truth.  No Liberals, Marxists, Stalinists, Socialists, Communists or DemocRATS were harmed in the making of this website, I promise! -  tha malcontent)

 

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